Carson Wentz, Philadelphia – In the last 3 weeks, Wentz has thrown 11 TDs and 2 INT. he seems to have hit his stride as a franchise quarterback. In his last 2 games at home, his completion percentages have been 70 and 68 percent. A couple of things to bear in mind, this will likely be Wentz’s first bad weather game as a pro. Though considering that he grew up in North Dakota with cold, ice and snow, I’m thinking Wentz will be OK. Look for more of a high volume passing game plan from Doug Pederson; more short passes, and screens which will only increase Wentz’s stats. Wentz being our QB play is in part because of his hot start but also that the 49ers have allowed the 2nd most QB fantasy points this season (second only to the New England Patriots). With the Niners coming cross country looking for the first win. I expect Wentz to keep it going
Devonta Freeman, Atlanta – Even though the dirty birds seem to be faltering, Freeman is having another solid year. He is averaging a robust 4.7 yards a carry, good for 10th in the league. Curiously, Freeman only got 12 rushing attempts against the Patriots even though the game was very much in play. Freeman made the most of his opportunities, however, getting 72 yards. Freeman was targeted an additional 3 times, making all 3 catches for 18 yards. Freeman shares snaps with Coleman which may seem problematic at first for a fantasy owner. But, Coleman was hurt in last week’s game versus the Patriots. Before he was hurt, Coleman played 19 snaps. Freeman is the better runner while Coleman is the better receiver. If the game is still competitive, Freeman’s opportunities could be limited. But if the Falcons are ahead and trying to run out the clock, Freeman should get his opportunities.
Keenan Allen, LA Chargers – Allen comes into this game looking for his second TD of the season. Allen is still being targeted highly in the passing game, but against good pass defenses, he hasn’t found his stride. The Patriots, however, are not a good pass defense. New England has given up the 3rd most fantasy points to wide receivers this year. Eric Rowe who is probably New England’s best cornerback is still hampered by a groin injury. Allen should find opportunities in the Patriots defensive backfield.
Nelson Agholor, Philadelphia – After the Eagles spent money to bring in free agents Torrey Smith and Alshon Jeffery and a 4th round draft pick on Mack Hollins, the most productive Eagles WR has been a guy they already had from last year, Nelson Agholor. Agholor has 5 TDs this year and is poised for more as the Eagles face the 49ers today at the Linc. The 49ers have a young secondary that has struggled this year, evidenced by San Francisco giving up the 7th most fantasy points this year versus WR. Agholor has been rejuvenated as a slot WR when Jordan Matthews was traded to Buffalo before the start of the season. Look for Agholor to hit paydirt again today.
Stefon Diggs, Minnesota – Diggs will return to the lineup this week after missing 2 games with a groin injury. When Diggs is on the field, he is a reliable weapon. The question will be his health.
Kai Forbath, Minnesota – As I discussed on last week’s Autopsy, Forbath was lights out last week. He was 6 for 6 on kicks including 2 from 50 yards plus. Against the Browns in England today, Forbath should get plenty of opportunities to score. The Browns have allowed 24 points so far this season, good for 24th in the league. The Vikings have issues of their own scoring, as they are in the bottom half of the league scoring. As drives stall out today, look for Kobra Kai to continue his trend.
Seattle Seahawks Defense – The Seahawks after a rough start to the season have found their way. They are now first overall in points allowed. They are also 8th in turnovers. Deshaun Watson, whom the Seahawks will line up against today, has had a fast start to this season. He has thrown for 15 TDs versus 5 interceptions. But needless to say, this will be the best defense Watson has faced as a pro. Quarterbacks only have a 69.9 rating against the Seahawks this season, that’s 3rd best in the NFL. I think they give Watson all kinds of trouble today